The Road to the White House: Key Factors in the 2024 U.S Presidential Elections

Though the 2024 US presidential election is only a few months away, talk about who will run and the major problems that will be addressed is already intensifying. Following a tumultuous four years in office for President Joe Biden, both major parties are plotting their moves in an attempt to win the presidency. The following are some of the key elements anticipated to influence the 2024 presidential contest:

Recovering Economy

In 2024, the economy will probably take center stage. The COVID-19 pandemic had left the economy shattered when Biden took office. The GDP and job growth in 2021 and 2022 have outperformed expectations, but rising inflation IN 2023-2024 is starting to worry a lot of people. In an effort to control prices, the Federal Reserve is currently acting aggressively. Voters will evaluate whether Biden’s leadership has helped their own financial circumstances and whether the economy has fully recovered. Republicans will be able to criticize the Biden administration if rising living expenses continue.

Handling COVID-19

Even though COVID-19 incidence decreased dramatically in 2021 as a result of vaccinations, the pandemic struggle is still ongoing due to new varieties in past 2 years. Voters will assess whether the Biden administration successfully balanced the nation’s health and economic goals by 2024, as well as the overall reaction to the viral outbreak. Republicans may benefit if the public believes that new varieties are being mishandled or ignored as recent upward trend of latest global virus is rapidly increasing. However, Biden might be credited if vaccinations continue to be effective and things get back to normal in general.

Division and Depletion

The 2020 election brought to light the growing division in America. Notwithstanding Biden’s pledge to mend the country, partisan hostility still exists. Anger among the public is shown in protests against topics including economic injustice, police brutality, and abortion rights. If this disagreement doesn’t end, voters might beg for a change in the current system. Parties could draw ire from the impasse in Washington. However, some discontent might be subdued if Biden achieves bipartisan progress on significant subjects like infrastructure or immigration.

The conflict in the Middle East
The US foreign policy following the October 2023 outbreak of the war between Israel and Palestine would undoubtedly have a significant influence on the US presidential election of 2024. People’s ability to make a decision in the US Presidential election of 2024 has been seriously jeopardized recently by the Houthi conflict in Yemen and the ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine. Republicans may prevail since many other countries have criticized America’s handling of the crisis at the international level.

Israel-Palestine map

Supreme Court Equilibrium

The retirement of Justice Stephen Breyer had abruptly altered the ideological makeup of the Supreme Court.  The Court might undergo a significant transformation under the next president if there are any further openings before 2024. This makes it much more crucial for Republicans to keep their ground and for Democrats to seize back control. Voter enthusiasm is impacted by court battles. The recent events of Supreme Court have impacted the political landscape in certain ways.

US Supreme Court(Image: zdulli)

Foreign Policy Challenges

The 2024 contest will also be shaped by worldwide dangers. It was hoped that Biden’s background would elevate America again. Yet tensions with adversaries like China, Russia, and Iran continue, and the disorganized pullout from Afghanistan earned criticism from both political parties. Biden is still entangled in ongoing border crises. Although Biden might face electoral consequences if international relations worsen, foreign policy is still unclear. However, his credibility would increase if he were to make diplomatic strides like a new agreement in middle-east and in Ukraine-Russia war

The Trump factor

The wild card continues to be Donald Trump. 78 years old in 2024—does the former president seek for office again?Recent events in IOWA have really caused a stir among the Republican candidates. The withdrawal of Vivek Ramaswamy and his endorsing of President Trump for the White House Presidential race has not only  challenged the other Republican candidates but Democratic strategy itself. If not, Trump would probably choose a candidate himself to carry out his populist agenda. Trump personally pledges to be involved in any case. Under the shadow of Trumpism, Biden is in charge. Republicans will adopt Trumpian philosophy if it continues to gain traction. However, voters in suburbs might wish for more conventional conservatism. The GOP has to decide how closely to follow Trump’s lead.

President Donald Trump

Swing States and Demographics

Changes in the population and the swing states favored Biden in 2020. Trump’s base is made up of elderly, white people, while younger, diverse voters tilt left. The previous election saw record-high voter turnout. Will disgruntled factions continue to be driven? Or will weariness diminish participation? Loyalists must be energized by both parties. The Swing States like Ohio,Michigan,Arizona, Florida and Pennsylvania will have a major impact in US Presidential elections 2024.  The left’s turnout may shift as a result of grassroots activism on topics like racial justice, reproductive rights, and climate change. Republicans continue to find a strong base of working-class white voters in Trump. Whoever finds their base will be in a better position.

US Elections 2023

Dominance in Fundraising

Election-related spending in the United States is expected to reach historic levels in 2024. Early on, both parties hope to amass enormous war chests from both super PACs and conventional donations. Republicans view dissatisfaction with Biden among voters as an opportunity to match or surpass Democrat fundraising totals this election season. Donations will also be boosted by digital tactics. The person with the largest financial operation will have the upper hand. Democrats should highlight Act Blue’s popularity among regular people, whereas Republicans depend on affluent large donors. Ground game will be impacted by cash flow.

Objective Scenario

Presidents are frequently given exaggerated credit or blame for the course of the country. The whole story of 2024 could shift as a result of unanticipated events like foreign hostilities, Supreme Court decisions, or natural disasters. Perhaps something that no one anticipated will come to characterize Biden’s presidency. This introduces ambiguity into the plans of both parties. It’s conceivable that some time will pass before the final deciding factors become apparent. Voters’ preferences for change or continuation will be determined by the circumstances surrounding the fall 2024 campaign. The image will get more focused over time.

In order convey the best possible message to a weary and divided electorate, both parties want to position themselves. The candidate with the most swing states and voter turnout will determine who receives 270 electoral votes. Biden needs to be mindful of the legacy he wants voters to evaluate in 2024 as he lays out his plans for the next 10 months. Republicans are strategizing how to change the course of their 2020 defeat in the interim. It will undoubtedly be another intensely contested and historic presidential race because there is so much on the line.

5th November is coming,so get ready and watch out for more updates.